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Asia Distillates-Jet fuel cash premiums post weekly rise as aviation demand firms

Mark White by Mark White
November 14, 2021
in Cargo
0

    SINGAPORE, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Asia's cash premiums for jet fuel inched higher on Friday,
hitting their highest levels in 22 months, buoyed by active buying interests for physical
cargoes amid expectations for aviation demand recovery in coming months.
    Cash premiums for jet fuel JET-SIN-DIF rose by a cent to 36 cents per barrel to Singapore
quotes, a level last seen in January 2020. The jet cash differentials have surged about 80% this
week.
    Although wider vaccinations and eased travel curbs have boosted sentiment in the aviation
fuel market, traders said it would still need an uptick in international travel and strong
heating demand for kerosene in coming months to sustain the recent rally.
    Refining margins, also known as cracks, for jet fuel slipped to $11.19 per
barrel over Dubai crude during Asian trading hours, compared with $12.13 per barrel a day
earlier. 
    The jet fuel cracks, which also determine the profitability of kerosene, have shed about 12%
this week, following a 9% rise last week, Refinitiv data showed.
    "We remain cautiously optimistic about the Asian (jet fuel) spot market as forecasts suggest
it will be a relatively warm winter in Hokkaido – the region where kerosene is most widely used
for heating in the winter in Asia," Zameer Yusof, senior analyst at Refinitiv Oil Research said
in a weekly note.
    "Renewed lockdowns in China amid a resurgence of the virus have had a double impact on the
fundamentals, reducing demand and increasing the country's exports," he added.
    
    FLEET READY
    - Singapore Airlines Ltd has 79% of its fleet and the vast majority of pilots and
cabin crew active so that it can quickly capitalise on any increase in demand, the airline's
chief executive said on Friday.
    - "We have 92% of pilots and 86% of cabin crew now back with us," he told analysts and
media. "At the level we are operating now, which is 37% of pre-COVID capacity, going up to 43%
in December, we are quite comfortable with this return rate."
    - The airline said on Thursday market conditions were improving after it reported a narrower
second-quarter loss due to cost-cutting efforts, record cargo revenue and an improvement in
passenger numbers from a low base.

    SINGAPORE CASH DEALS
    - No gasoil trades, no jet fuel deals
    
    OTHER NEWS
    - Oil prices fell on Friday, wiping out gains from the previous session as the dollar
continued to firm on expectations that the U.S. central bank will bring forward an increase to
interest rates in an effort to tame inflation.
    - Japanese refiners reported strong earnings for April-September and lifted their annual
forecasts as surging oil prices brought hefty valuation gains on inventories and boosted
earnings from their upstream oil assets.
    
    ASSESSMENTS
 MID-DISTILLATES                                                                          
 CASH ($/T)            ASIA CLOSE        Change   % Change    Prev Close   RIC
 Spot Gas Oil 0.5%                92.56    -1.27       -1.35        93.83  GO-SIN
 GO 0.5 Diff                      -0.07    -0.12     -240.00         0.05  GO-SIN-DIF
 Spot Gas Oil 0.25%               92.71    -1.27       -1.35        93.98  GO25-SIN
 GO 0.25 Diff                      0.08    -0.12      -60.00          0.2  GO25-SIN-DIF
 Spot Gas Oil 0.05%               92.86    -1.27       -1.35        94.13  GO005-SIN
 GO 0.05 Diff                      0.23    -0.12      -34.29         0.35  GO005-SIN-DIF
 Spot Gas Oil 0.001%              93.36    -1.28       -1.35        94.64  GO10-SIN
 GO 0.001 Diff                     0.73    -0.13      -15.12         0.86  GO10-SIN-DIF
 Spot Jet/Kero                    90.83    -1.21       -1.31        92.04  JET-SIN
 Jet/Kero Diff                     0.36     0.01        2.86         0.35  JET-SIN-DIF
                                                                                          
 For a list of derivatives prices, including margins, please                              
 double click the RICs below.                                              
 Brent M1                                                                                 
 Gasoil M1                                                                                
 Gasoil M1/M2                                                                             
 Gasoil M2                                                                                
 Regrade M1                                                                               
 Regrade M2                                                                               
 Jet M1                                                                                   
 Jet M1/M2                                                                                
 Jet M2                                                                                   
 Gasoil 500ppm-Dubai                                                                      
 Cracks M1                                                                 
 Gasoil 500ppm-Dubai                                                                      
 Cracks M2                                                                 
 Jet Cracks M1                                                                            
 Jet Cracks M2                                                                            
 East-West M1                                                                             
 East-West M2                                                                             
 LGO M1                                                                                   
 LGO M1/M2                                                                                
 LGO M2                                                                                   
 Crack LGO-Brent M1                                                                       
 Crack LGO-Brent M2                                                                       
 
 (Reporting by Koustav Samanta; Editing by Shailesh Kuber)
  

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Mark White

Mark White

Mark White is the editor of the ProcurementNation, a Media Outlet covering supply chain and logistics issues. He joined The New York Times in 2007 as an commodities reporter, and most recently served as foreign-exchange editor in New York.

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