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TREASURIES-Yields steady after ‘normal’ 30-year bond auction

Mark White by Mark White
September 1, 2021
in Supply Chain
0


 (Recasts, updates yields)
    By Karen Pierog
    CHICAGO, Aug 12 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields on the
longer end of the curve hovered near the unchanged mark on
Thursday after struggling to maintain higher levels reached in
the wake of a 30-year bond auction, while cash flowing into to
an overnight Federal Reserve facility set a new record.
    The 30-year yield, which hit a session high of
2.035% following the early-afternoon auction, was last at
2.0048%. 
    The benchmark 10-year yield rose as high as
1.379% after the auction and was last at 1.3607%.
    The $27 billion of 30-year bonds were sold at a high yield
of 2.040% and with a bid-to-cover ratio, a gauge of demand, of 
2.21.
    "You had a really pretty normal result relative to average
so I think the market looked through the auction results and
just kind of kept on doing what it was doing," said Tom Simons,
a money market economist at Jefferies in New York. He added that
a really weak or really strong auction would have had the
potential to move rates more.
    Yields, meanwhile, continued to inch higher ahead of an
expected announcement by the Fed on tapering its asset purchases
and with the latest inflation readings, Simons said. 
    U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in July,
suggesting inflation could remain high as strong demand fueled
by the economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic continues
to press supply chains.
    The producer price report on Thursday from the Labor
Department followed data on Wednesday that showed U.S. consumer
price increases slowed in July even as they remained at a
13-year high on a yearly basis amid tentative signs inflation
has peaked as supply-chain disruptions caused by the pandemic
work their way through the economy.
    Inflation expectations have risen this week, with the
breakeven inflation rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) climbing as
high as  2.616% on Thursday. It was 2.552% on Monday.
    The Labor Department also reported on Thursday that initial
claims for state unemployment benefits fell 12,000 to a
seasonally adjusted 375,000 for the week ended Aug. 7.

    "It's the third decline in a row, so that's giving people
more optimism that the next jobs figures will be reasonably
strong," said Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at the
Schwab Center for Financial Research in New York.
    The U.S. Treasury also announced auctions for $27 billion of
20-year bonds next Wednesday and $8 billion of 30-year TIPS on
Aug. 19.
    Auctions earlier this week were solid, with Wednesday's
10-year note auction the strongest since 2012, possibly as a
result of foreign demand, Citi analysts said in a research
report.
    The amount of cash pouring into the Fed's overnight reverse
repurchase agreement facility set a record high of $1.087
trillion on Thursday, topping the previous record of $1.039
trillion set on July 30.
     A closely watched part of the yield curve that measures the
gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes
 was last 2.29 basis points steeper at 113.60 basis
points.
   August 12 Thursday 3:42PM New York / 1942 GMT
                               Price        Current   Net
                                            Yield %   Change
                                                      (bps)
 Three-month bills             0.05         0.0507    0.000
 Six-month bills               0.05         0.0507    -0.002
 Two-year note                 99-207/256   0.2227    0.002
 Three-year note               99-194/256   0.4565    0.005
 Five-year note                99-8/256     0.8245    0.013
 Seven-year note               99-32/256    1.131     0.012
 10-year note                  98-248/256   1.3607    0.002
 20-year bond                  105-136/256  1.9124    0.004
 30-year bond                  108-68/256   2.0048    0.001
                                                      
   DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS                                
                               Last (bps)   Net       
                                            Change    
                                            (bps)     
 U.S. 2-year dollar swap         9.00         0.50    
 spread                                               
 U.S. 3-year dollar swap         9.75         0.75    
 spread                                               
 U.S. 5-year dollar swap         8.50         0.00    
 spread                                               
 U.S. 10-year dollar swap        0.25        -0.75    
 spread                                               
 U.S. 30-year dollar swap      -29.25         0.50    
 spread (Reporting by Karen Pierog; editing by Jonathan Oatis and Chizu
Nomiyama)
  



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Mark White

Mark White

Mark White is the editor of the ProcurementNation, a Media Outlet covering supply chain and logistics issues. He joined The New York Times in 2007 as an commodities reporter, and most recently served as foreign-exchange editor in New York.

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